Saturday, June 17, 2023

Emerging dynamics of conflict and cooperation in a post-hegemonic age: A Kautilyan perspective on BRICS By MARKO JUUTINEN

 Courtesy: https://www.orfonline.org/research/emerging-dynamics-of-conflict-and-cooperation-in-a-post-hegemonic-age-a-kautilyan-perspective-on-brics-54615/

This paper theorises international relations using the perspective of an Indian classic, Kautilya’s Arthashastra, and employs such interpretation to conceptualise BRICS (or the association of emerging economies, Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.) As a litmus test for the analytical viability of the Kautilyan perspective developed here, the paper examines what might be called “the BRICS paradox”: the mismatch between theoretical expectations about the nature of BRICS and the ambiguous empirical evidence about it. From the Kautilyan perspective, and in particular seen through the framework of multiple and overlapping mandalas, BRICS can be redefined as a novel type of international agent that reflects the emergence of pluralist global politics. Having sought to test Kautilyan concepts in the contemporary context, the paper confirms the analytical value of the ancient theorisations, their potential for contemporary IR scholarship as well as strategic foreign policy analysis in a pluralistic international order in a post-hegemonic era.


This paper is part of ORF’s series, ‘India and the Study of International Relations’. Find other research in the series here

Attribution: Marko Juutinen, “Emerging Dynamics of Conflict and Cooperation in a Post-Hegemonic Age: A Kautilyan Perspective on BRICS”, ORF Occasional Paper No. 208, August 2019, Observer Research Foundation.


I. Introduction: The Changing International Order and the BRICS Paradox

The question of how global power transitions affect the liberal international order has long been a subject of enquiry for scholars of international relations (IR).[1] The realist perspective tends to emphasise the geopolitical and competitive dimension of the rise of the emerging powers and their formation of new international institutions.[2] Those who focus on institutional and normative continuities, for their part, are keen to point out that none of the emerging powers or new initiatives has directly sought to oppose or reform the institutional bedrock of global governance.[3] Still others have focused on ideational and conceptual transformations. Echoing Huntington’s observations about the empowerment of cultural identities, scholars like Amitav Acharya and Barry Buzan have argued that there is a growing interest in local perspectives to IR theories and a demand for a global IR built on a dialogue between them and the established Western perspectives.[4]

The grouping of Brazil, Russia, India, China in 2006, and later South Africa in 2010, referred to as BRICS, illustrates these transformations. Yet, the conundrum of global power transitions, and new international institutions like BRICS and their implications for the liberal international order, remains an object of empirical and conceptual debate. This paper offers an additional conceptual perspective to these debates. Its objective is a conceptual analysis of an Indian classic, Kautilya’s Arthashastra, to develop a local perspective to BRICS studies, and the study of international relations in general.

There are at least three reasons why a local perspective on BRICS studies is useful. First is the lack of broadly accepted theorisations about BRICS and the persistent debate about its political nature. Second is the uncertainty over the application of Kautilyan conceptualisations on BRICS: It is unknown whether Kautilya can be useful in BRICS studies, what results a Kautilyan perspective yields and how it relates to other interpretations. The ambiguous notion that BRICS scholarship has not been conceptually saturated, which underpins the above reasoning, provides a third and more general argument for the task in this analysis.

To be sure, BRICS has been subjected to various, sometimes contradictory, conceptualisations. Some scholars have interpreted it as a challenger to Western dominance and the promoter of a new international order.[5] Others have claimed it to be more of a paper tiger as its members are quarrelsome, to begin with, and tended to support the existing liberal institutions.[6] Moreover, while BRICS has succeeded in creating two new financial institutions, the New Development Bank (NDB) and the Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA), it has not produced a BRICS Consensus, leaving critics of neo-liberal development policies disappointed.[7] Against this background, some scholars have sought to describe these different and conflicting interpretations as “the BRICS paradox”,[8] deriving from certain theoretical premises about international relations that pose expectations and lead to interpretations that do not match with the reality.

One major aspect of the BRICS paradox is regarding BRICS’ position within the contending-dominant power continuum or the classic realist narrative that links international order with cycles of hegemonic rise and fall.[9] For example, power transition theorists argue that the international order tends to be structured hierarchically with a preponderant power at the top of its hierarchy. During a decline of a former hegemon, power transition is likely to produce a contender, either as a group of states or one single great power.[10] Various scholars have already shown that this does not fit well with BRICS.[11]

The same holds for the balance of power theory when employed in this context of Ikenberry’s hegemonic realism. It proposes that augmentation of power by one actor disrupts the balance in a system and thus is followed by rebalancing measures by other actors in the same system.[12] This would suggest that though BRICS started as a coalition against Western dominance, with the increase of Chinese influence in world affairs, it would meet with rebalancing efforts by either Russia or India, or even both. However, there is not enough empirical evidence to support this theoretical deduction. Indeed, the evidence is contradictory. First, under the Narendra Modi government, India has become the US’ partner in the Indo-Pacific and has actively sought closer ties with Japan and Australia. This can be seen as a reaction to China’s growing presence in South Asia and the Indo-Pacific. In the summer of 2017, during the so-called Doklam crisis, Sino-Indian tensions came close to a military showdown.[13] These examples support the notion of rebalancing efforts and conflicting relations among the BRICS countries.

Second, and in spite of these tensions, there is also plenty of Sino-Indian and intra-Asian cooperation, particularly in terms of economic and financial integration. BRICS is only one of the many instances where hugely heterogeneous emerging powers have more or less equal influence and where inter-state conflicts have been set aside for the sake of common objectives and international cooperation. According to some scholars,[14] these observations challenge the general viability of the hegemonic realism and the contending-dominant power dichotomy. However, as they draw on European experiences, it would seem logical that they are partially context-specific.[15] Indeed, some commentators have argued that international pluralism, coexistence of cooperation and rivalries, is deeply embedded in both past and present Asian politics; Asian powers, China and India included, would seem to endorse this as a positive feature.[16] European experience with rivalries, on the other hand, has been less positive.

BRICS may not have challenged the current international order, but it has given a task to scholars attempting to understand it. On the one hand, BRICS may be seen as a process in making, or that it is merely a paper tiger. Alternatively, it could be that, as part of a new and emerging reality, there are no available analytical tools to assess its true potential. Thus, as Michael Liebig has argued, indigenous traditions provide us with untapped resources to develop analytical tools to study IR.[17] According to the proponents of the so-called global IR, this is not just a research gap in the specialised BRICS scholarship.[18] Instead, broader usage of local perspectives would benefit the development of IR theory in general. This article contributes with a non-Western local perspective to the contemporary BRICS scholarship.

The focus of the article is on developing an interpretation of the Indian classic, Kautilya’s Arthashastra, which is an ancient Sanskrit treatise on statecraft and foreign policy.[1] The litmus test of the analytical viability of the Kautilyan perspective developed here consists of using this perspective to explain the BRICS paradox. This is in response to the interest in and demand for developing local IR perspectives. By developing a Kautilyan perspective and testing its analytical viability, this paper also provides a conceptual framework that can be used to study how and to what extent—if at all—this perspective differs from the established or Western IR theories, and the manner it resonates with them.

The second section of this paper provides the reasoning for why Kautilya is a relevant source in IR. The third section presents some of Kautilya’s key concepts in terms of international relations and seeks to interpret them for the purposes of contemporary foreign policy analysis. The fourth section applies the analytical framework on explaining BRICS, and the fifth section summarises the conclusions reached.

II. Kautilya and the Relevance of his Arthashastra

Kautilya, also known as Chanakya, was a Brahman scholar and political adviser who lived during and after the era of Alexander the Great’s conquests. Although uncertain, the predominant understanding is that the Arthashastra, an extensive treatise in statecraft and foreign policy, was authored by Kautilya. Kautilya, who, together with Thucydides, can be considered one of the first realists, served as chief minister and councillor of the Indian king, Chandragupta Maurya (321–296 BCE). It is thought that Kautilya’s advice helped Chandragupta to establish an empire of his own in the Indian peninsula, an empire which at its peak covered most of contemporary South Asia.[19]

Kautilya’s Arthashastra is a piece of ancient Sanskrit literature, with over 200,000 words in the English translation and more extensive than Aristotle’s Politics. It counts among the finest specimens of ancient literature.[20] Unlike Politics, Arthashastra was lost until 1904 when it was discovered by Dr R. Shamasastry. Welcoming its recovery, scholars like Max Weber compared Arthashastra with ancient Hellenic literature on statecraft, while Johann Jakob Meyer, a German Indologist, referred to it as the “library of ancient India”.[21] In spite of having been lost, some elements of the Arthashastra survived and were passed on by oral tradition through Hindu epics such as the Mahabharata and Ramayana, as well as through social structures, religious beliefs and according to Patrick Olivelle, to some extent, even in legal codes like the laws of Manu.[22]

This author’s reading of Kautilya’s Arthashastra is  used as a tool to conceptualise the present.[23] This objective aligns the present paper with IR theory and foreign policy analysis while setting it apart from works in history of ideas, although these are never fully separate.[24]It should be noted, as Bilgin[25] and Acharya[26] have argued, that it is analytically challenging if not impossible to exclusively define what actually is “Western” about Western IR or what constitutes the inherently non-Western dimensions in non-Western IR. Like technological innovations, ideas too travel across regions, mutated on the way and assimilated into new contexts.[27] In addition, focus on at least partly artificial categorisations can strengthen exclusiveness whereas emphasis on what unites and what is common can be seen to increase positive sentiments across various kinds of boundaries. From this perspective, the concept of ‘non-Western’ may contain false connotations about the separateness of, for example, Indian and Chinese traditions, even if those form important building blocks of what is meant by ‘Western’.

Consequently, indigenous traditions should not be studied to serve national pride or civilisational confrontations. Rather, it should be the realisation that the epistemic sources of IR should reflect the pluralism of the current international order that should motivate such studies. In the past, the US got the chance to develop, employ and interpret IR for its own purposes, to legitimise its supremacy. This resulted in contextual biases. Therefore, to unravel the secrets of the present world, what is needed is to not only acknowledge and understand the particularistic and contextual finesse of ideas, but also to seek to replenish the conceptual sources.[28]

III. Kautilyan International Relations and Foreign Policy

Early works by Sarkar and Modelski, and more recent research by, for example, Boesche, Zaman, Gautam, Mitra and Liebig have already sought to connect Kautilyan concepts with present-day political science terminology.[29]  Following Gautam, this author has in a previous study[30] divided Kautilya’s foreign policy framework into seven elements: (1) a specific type of king, the conqueror; (2) four measures to overcome opposition (upayas); (3) the seven constituent elements of state; (4) six measures of foreign policy; (5) mandala system of international relations; (6) three ways of conquest; and (7) three ways of war. This paper focuses on three: the mandala[2], the constituent elements of state, and conquest. These three elements in Kautilya’s foreign policy framework can be expanded to broader analytical concepts providing perspectives to: (1) the organising principles of international relations; (2) overarching leadership goals of transnational agents; and (3) the foreign policy obligation of an aspirant global leader.[31]

3.1. The logic of international relations

In Kautilya’s Arthashastra, ‘mandala’ refers to circles of kings, and an international system based on strategic relations between them. The central nodes in the mandala system, the four circles of kings, are four types of kings: conqueror, conqueror’s enemy, middle power and neutral power. Each of the circles consists of the friends and allies of their nodal power, be it the conqueror, conqueror’s enemy, middle king or the neutral power. In addition, king does not merely denote ruler but also, depending on the context, the whole state.[32]

The four nodes of Kautilya’s mandala system have particular characteristics. The most powerful state, the so-called neutral king, is defined as one that would have the material capabilities to resist and even subjugate each of the minor kings individually, but is situated beyond their territories. This great power regards the lesser states with indifference because, for Kautilya, enmity depends primarily on territorial proximity. The middle king is the second strongest state, but it also shares territory with minor powers. Conqueror and its enemy are the lesser states that also share a common border.[33] As Arthashastra is written without direct historical references, various scholars agree that the mandala system is primarily a conceptualisation of possible strategic relations between them, even though Boesche has shown that it also has a descriptive dimension.[34]

The concepts of enmity and friendship lie at the heart of the mandala’s strategic function. Yet, for Kautilya, enemy is a state that “is situated anywhere immediately on the circumference of the conqueror’s territory.”[35] Benoy Sarkar, writing during World War I, adopted this idea without deeper scrutiny. Gautam, conversely, has noted that while the natural enemy of any state is bound to be its neighbour, not all neighbours are enemies.[36] Still, to get an idea about the organising principle in the mandala’s strategic function, the factors that cause enmity in the neighbourhood should be considered.

Some of the obvious reasons are competition for the same resources like arable land, woods or metals, dependence on the same source of water, increases in population, and migration and the potential colonisation resulting from it. These become causes of conflict only between peoples who live close to each other. Even today these matters are relevant to a certain extent, yet global markets and the relative ease of travel reduces dependency on the neighbourhood. Consequently, instead of neighbourhood, enmity results from conflicting strategic interests, which in Kautilya’s historic context tended to coincide with territorial proximity. This resonates with Liebig’s extrapolation about Kautilya’s matsya-nyāya, or the ‘law of the fishes’, or ‘law of the jungle’, which define conflicting interests as the natural condition of human life.[37]

As a result, the constitution of the circles of states, and their relations with each other, are a question of conflicting interests between them. This modification makes it possible to expand the applicability of the mandala. While territorial borders in IR apply to states, conflicting interests also apply to other governance institutions as much as matters of international and transnational interdependences.

Defined in this sense, mandala can account not only for inter-state relations but also for global governance and international organisation. This is an important observation, because one of the major implications of globalisation has been the transformation in the political sovereignty of states through various forms of shared authority and pooled sovereignty.[38]  This is what Rosenau and Czempiel[39] referred to with the influential notion of ‘governance without government’. The concept encapsulates the resulting fragmentation of public authority and the emergence of new actors including non-governmental and private actors – in addition to transgovernmental (between for example state departments), intergovernmental, intra-regional, translocal (between for example two cities) and public-private hybrids.[40]

Thus, it seems both possible and plausible to define mandala as a conceptualisation of transnational relations structured by how different agents relate to: (1) each other in terms of size and influence; and (2) matters of governance. A matter of governance can be a conflicting interest or an issue of interdependence between at least two actors. In the modern age, many governance issues are not fundamentally about conflicting interests, but about management of interdependences.

3.2. Overarching leadership goals

Mitra and Liebig have argued that the raison d’état of Kautilya’s political leadership is the optimisation of state power to maintain and increase the welfare of its people. This is because only a powerful state can ensure the welfare of its people.[41] Kautilya divides power into three components: intellectual strength (which provides good counsel); a strong army and prosperous treasury, which provide for physical strength; and valour, which builds the psychological bases of energy and morale. According to Ramachandran’s interpretation,  Kautilya’s conception of power embodies four factors—counsel, military might, economy and motivation—and in this form is similar to the conception by the Chinese military strategist and writer Sun Zi.[42] Pursuit of power is one of the factors that render Kautilya a realist because one of the basic premises in realism is that states seek to maximise their power and influence.

Yet, Kautilya’s realism is conditional. A king is bound to do his best for the welfare of his subjects: ‘In the happiness of his subjects lies his happiness; in their welfare his welfare.’[43] Welfare is the goal, and realist politics the tool. How then does Chanakya define welfare? He defines it as material well-being, acquisition and abundance of wealth:

Hence the king shall ever be active and discharge his duties; the root of wealth is activity, and of evil its reverse. In the absence of activity acquisitions present and to come will perish; by activity he can achieve both his desired ends and abundance of wealth.[44]

[W]hen the king is well off, by his welfare and prosperity, he pleases the people; of what kind the king’s character is, of the same kind will be the character of his people; for their progress or downfall, the people depend upon the king; the king is, as it were, the aggregate of the people.[45]

State power is not only an extension of the elements of power (intellectual, moral and material capacities and possessions) on an abstract idea of state. In fact, Kautilya’s seven-fold typology of state, or the ‘constituent elements’, ‘state factors’ or ‘elements of sovereignty’, are fully comparable with  20th-century realist conceptualisations of state power.[46] Kautilya operationalises the optimisation of power through the following state factors: (1) king, ruler; (2) government, administrative bodies; (3) people, country and the productive capabilities like agriculture; (4) capital or fortified city; (5) treasury or perhaps the tax base and tax income; (6) army; and (7) allies.[47]State power refers to optimisation of intellectual, moral and material capacities and possession of all these seven factors.

For the purposes of modern analysis, some modifications of these elements are in order. The king and ministers should be considered in the broader sense of an efficient government and the ability of a central authority to exercise decisive influence on its subjects. Roger Boesche describes Kautilya’s administrative system as ‘despotic’, but this interpretation has been challenged by for example Deepshikha Shahi’s constructivist reading of the Arthasastra.[48]

The third element for Kautilya would seem to be a compound of people and natural resources, and how they under an efficient and just administration yield both the sustenance for the country as well as the tax base that supports the government in its undertakings and a strong army. Like the king and governmental officials, so would the people be of good character, loyal and capable in their respective business.  Today, the productive capabilities of a country would embody its industrial base, connectivity to international markets, position in regional and global value chains, as well as other elements that form the preconditions of economic productivity and competitiveness, like social and physical infrastructure.[49] Some elements of the modern social infrastructure, like the educational and judiciary systems, link to Kautilya’s ’character’ of the people and imply not only the build of occupational capabilities but also the construction of societal virtues, cohesiveness of the society and individual attachment to community. Finally, for Kautilya, commerce is not a-political even if it serves economic exchange. Commerce is also a key element of ‘intelligence service’ as we have learned from the examples of Facebook and Huawei.[50]

The treasury and tax base are still applicable concepts. The fortified city, constructed to protect the population against enemy troops, would need some modifications to become a useful category for contemporary analysis. Societal resilience might be a useful replacement for the ancient concept of a fortified city. It encompasses elements of both external and internal security. It also covers the soft elements of societal cohesiveness, approval of government and a critical and well-informed world-view which provide a fortification against inimical influence. Indeed, these elements of resilience find expression in Kautilya’s theory of society, which combines social control and administration with the material well-being of people and the general acceptability of the king and social hierarchies. However, he does not list these as part of the elements of sovereignty.[51]

In the Kautilyan formulation, there is also a non-material aspect to strength and happiness, one defined by Vedic tradition and the hierarchical social structure of the Aryan caste system. Living well in this context would imply fulfilling one’s duties as a member of a caste as given.[52] Cultural traditions, belief systems and values can be seen as sources of societal resilience, stability and predictability. They also form an element in the sociological acceptability of governance. For example, Peter Stillman defines legitimacy as “the compatibility of the results of governmental output with the value patterns of the relevant system”.[53]

Of the last two state factors, army and allies, the latter is highly relevant in the modern context, defined by environmental and economic interdependences. These ties cause a fundamental transformation in the nature and operational logic of the mandalasystem. For example, the productive forces of any country are dependent on their connections with other countries. Various transnational governance institutions regulate how and between whom these connections are built and supervised. As a result, cooperation permeates most of Kautilya’s state factors: the circles of states in a modern mandala become intertwined and tie kingly obligations in one political entity with the happiness of people in another. This leaves enmity or zero-sum games with only a side role.

Thus, the raison d’être of leadership in the modern era mandala can be defined as optimisation of welfare in the often transnationally intertwined state factors. This can be defined as the inter-state mandala. Leadership in this context can be about solving common problems.[54] Moreover, if modern mandala has to take into account the transnationally intertwined state factors, so can it also be applied to conflicting interests and governance in cases, where instead of states, international organisations serve as agents. In this sense, these are transnational mandalas. These organisations (1) do not have kings but leaders; (2) do not have governments but bureaucracies; (3) do not have a nation, but they have people as their subjects and their objectives are often defined with regard to problems experiences by peoples in many countries and geographic areas; (4) do not have capitals but a relation with social cohesiveness and societal resilience; (5) do not have right to collect taxes but virtually all of them have a budget and incomes; (6) some have an army; and (7) many cooperate with other international organisations, institutions, non-state actors and states.

An additional feature in Kautilya’s conceptualisation of state, which strengthens the applicability of mandala also on international organisations, is the open character of Kautilya’s state: it is not territorially bound, nor nationally or ethnically defined. The idea of nation-states has been predominant among European whereas states in Asia, Africa and South America encompass multiple nations of whom many speak their own tongue. According to Shyam Saran, this openness is distinctive in Asian political history. It would explain why pluralism would appear so much more acceptable a condition in Asia than in Europe, where the integration process was launched to avoid the horrific experiences of the two world wars.[55] Admittedly, the European Union’s (EU) legitimacy as an integration process has more recently been contested, partially through misguided diagnosis by the Brexiters[3] and populist movements with alleged support from China and Russia, about the ongoing migration crisis and global economic imbalances.

3.3. Conquest as a foreign policy obligation

Benoy Sarkar described Kautilya’s mandala as a ‘cult of expansion’. Sarkar connected expansionism with world conquest; Boesche also hints at this. Liebig and Gautam, in contrast, restrict Kautilya’s expansionism to the geographic and civilisational sphere of the Indian subcontinent.[56] Nonetheless, conquest forms an essential part of Kautilya’s theory, where the would-be-conqueror or vijigisu is a central actor.

Conqueror is a singular type of king because of its normative character, and its role in the international system. The normative dimension of the conqueror refers to certain qualities that legitimise the vijigisu’s role as a conqueror. The conqueror should possess excellent personal qualities, and be industrious in attaining and improving his skills and abilities. He should husband his time efficiently according to a carefully planned schedule, and never let selfish desires and urges dictate his actions.[57]

In addition to these features, the vijigisu is distinctive because of conquest. The Arthashastra classifies conquests into three groups: (1) righteous; (2) greedy; and (3) demonical. A just conqueror, our vijigisu, does not necessarily need to seek usurpation or extension of his state’s belongings. Territorial takeover, moreover, would likely involve death, loss of money and impoverishment. It would not necessarily be conducive to the happiness and welfare of his people, least of all those newly subjected to his rule. In the Arthashastra, a ‘king […], being possessed of good character and best-fitted elements of sovereignty’ and seeking conquest, should be neither demonic nor greedy. If he would act in any other way than righteous, he would create the space and need for another state to seek a new conqueror. This is because it is the duty of a king to aspire for the welfare and happiness of his people, which is impossible under a demonic ruler and difficult with a greedy one.[58]

To be able to conquer, the vijigisu should have the necessary material and non-material capabilities both to conquer and to maintain a dominant position after the conquest. To establish himself, he needs to set up his rule in a manner that advances the happiness and welfare of the new subjects, thus binding them to the king for material gains and for non-material reasons. The non-material reasons in Kautilya’s Arthashastra have to do with the Brahmanical order and virtues which deepen the moral dimension of Kautilya’s realism.[59]

As a result, Kautilya’s conquest does not generate rights without obligations. Instead, by extending the kingdom, conquest also extends the obligations that come with leadership. In this sense, the ethical and material are inseparably intertwined. Interestingly, this seems to resonate with certain modern concepts. There is, for instance, a similarity between ‘benevolent superpower’ and ‘liberal international order’ on the one side, and the vijigisu and ‘conquest’ on the other. As noted by Liebig, these conceptual interfaces deserve ‘long overdue’ scholarly attention. However, they are beyond the scope of this particular paper.[60]

If the mandala in the contemporary context can be regarded as a certain type of strategic constellation of diverse interests around a governance issue, or, more narrowly, a constellation of state relations with regard to a matter of governance, then to conquer means to solve this issue. A righteous conquest would imply a solution that improves or secures the welfare of the vijigisu and the conquered. For example, a mutually beneficial trade agreement, or a port or railway connection, would correspond to righteous conquest, while a trade war would imply a greedy conquest.

3.4. Towards a framework of analysis

The basic unit in the mandala is the state, conceived of as a compound of seven elements, none of which, in the contemporary world, is fully independent or sovereign, but which is tied to other states, friends and enemies alike, with at least some environmental, economic and international connections. The objective of each state is the optimisation of the immaterial and material dimensions of each of the seven transnationally interdependent state factors, which would obligate leaders or at least the vijigisu to aspire for win-win solutions instead of zero-sum outcomes. This holds in cases where the circle of states is intertwined through interdependent constituent elements. These notions might help to rethink the dynamics of conflict and cooperation in a manner that underpins the historical experiences of Asian civilisations and is well suited for the emerging pluralistic international order.

Moreover, while the basic unit in Kautilyan mandala is the state, the modern mandala also applies to international organisations and governance agencies in the global context of complex and inter-relational webs of political authority. Along with states, these webs of authority can be situated as parts of a state-centric mandala, as elements of ‘interdependent sovereignty’ affecting people and productive forces, treasury and allies. But they can also be interpreted as actors in transnational mandalas, where instead of states the focus is on transnational agents or international organisations.

Finally, the ideal leader (vijigisu) would be one that employs all measures in hand to ensure successful win-win solutions for common concerns, while ensuring neutrality or zero-sum gains in cases where the mandala is divided into clearly separate circles, and where the state factors of each central node of each circle are disconnected. The following is a tentative analytical framework:

  1. A key foreign policy objective is righteous conquest. In the context of multiple and overlapping circles consisting of transnationally intertwined state factors, righteous conquest denotes successful leadership in optimisation of welfare in the interconnected political entities through win-win solutions for common problems. The modern vijigisu has mastery over the complex web of mandalas, knows how to keep them separate (e.g., does not mix political conflicts with economic cooperation), and has the ability to exercise effective leadership.
  2. In defining the operational environment for foreign policy manoeuvres, primary focus is on what constitutes a given mandala:
  • What are the conflicting interests/common problems?
  • What kinds of agents are involved?
  • What does the vijigisu do to lead or overcome, by what means and how successfully?
  • What are the shortcomings of his leadership?
  • From the normative perspective, what should the vijigisu do and who or what is most suitable to be a vijigisu? 

IV. BRICS and the multiple and overlapping mandalas

Various scholars have attempted to define the association of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa or BRICS as an international agent and to conceptualise its relationship with the changing international order. The BRICS countries portray some elements befitting various theoretical conceptualisations. It seems to be a little of many things, but not fully anything. This is the interpretation behind the BRICS paradox.

The BRICS paradox can be defined as a theoretically grounded chain of arguments that leads to deductions about BRICS that are not coherent with empirical reality, or at least seem controversial or ambiguous. One aspect of the paradox emerges from the idea that because the BRICS countries are so heterogeneous, i.e. they lack the political, geographic, ideational and constructivist elements that, particularly from the perspective of European integration theories, are necessary for efficient cooperation, BRICS is defined as fundamentally a paper tiger with little expectations regarding its global role. Another perspective, this one grounded in power transition theory, expects the BRICS countries to align to challenge either the hierarchical order of states in the increasingly obsolete US-led world order, or the norms and institutions of the current system in order to reform them to better fit their own interests. There is contradictory evidence for both these claims.

In Kautilyan terms, the organising principle in both these claims relates to some aspects of global interdependence, governance issues or conflicting interests. The Kautilyan perspective would thus suggest conceptualising these puzzles through relatively narrow, issue-specific mandalas. In other words, this perspective would solve the paradox by changing the premises leading to it. Even as no theory is perfect, most theories can convey some important information. Comparative studies show that BRICS is neither a federation nor a supranational governance entity, but an interstate alliance subject to conflicts or dissonance between its members. The Kautilyan perspective can add to this type of analysis with insights about what elements bind the BRICS countries together, and how they relate to the elements that separate them or create potential for conflicts within BRICS. For this, the Kautilyan perspective provides the tools of multiple and overlapping mandalas.

The BRICS mandalas divide into various transnational and interstate mandalas, which are partly separate and partly overlapping. BRICS as an international agent is a compound of how dynamics interrelations between these various mandalas. Figure 1. illustrates some of the complexities of these dynamics. Each colour denotes a specific constellation of strategic and conflicting interests, and each shared border (even between different colours) denotes a potentially conflicting relation. Enemy in one mandala can be friend in another.

Figure 1. (Source: Author’s own.)

4.1. Transnational mandalas

According to BRICS summit documents, BRICS was formed as a reaction to the “major and swift changes” in world affairs and the resulting need “for corresponding transformations in global governance”. [61] The summit declarations underline values including mutual respect, cooperation, coordinated action and collective decision-making in “a multipolar, equitable and democratic world order.”[62] As a result, the organising principles for the BRICS transnational mandala are the relation of each international agent towards these values, pluralism and the “corresponding reforms” in global governance.

The United Nations (UN), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Trade Organization (WTO) are three of the most important governance institutions of the so-called liberal international order. They are also the objects of BRICS’ critique, causes of conflicting relations, and the targets of conquest. Yet, the source of critique is not in the principles of these institutions. Instead, enmity arises from the discrepancy between values and practices. In spite of the power shift, the US and the developed countries continue to maintain a strong position in these institutions, and the system that should generate non-discriminatory gains for all still produces disproportionate benefits to the already powerful companies, countries and groups of people.[63] This, it would appear, is what the BRICS countries want to change.

Indeed, the shortcomings of what in critical political economy literature is called the neo-liberal political economy, clearly felt in the Global South, has been one source of major expectations for alternative development models and thus also for actual financial and trade initiatives for that purpose. For example, Duggan[64] and Mielniczuk[65] have separately shown that the BRICS discourse about development and political economy deviates from the established neo-liberal jargon. Neither of them, however, is able to demonstrate that the BRICS actually have an alternative agenda. Other scholars have shown explicitly that they do not.[66]

While state influence over markets among BRICS countries is relatively extensive, they have been major beneficiaries of economic globalisation and stout supporters of capitalism and remain so.[67] For example, BRICS country lending to other developing countries is as extractive as investments from the advanced economies.[68] The newly founded NDB has already been criticised for lack of transparency and disrespect for good governance. A recent case is the contentious infrastructure loan to Durban port in South Africa, strongly objected to by the local population.[69] Another factor is the close institutional relations between the Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA) and the IMF. BRICS created the CRA as a liquidity buffer against potential balance of payments problems, but when there is need for more than 30 percent of borrowing quota, it must first seek structural adjustment loans from the IMF before it can receive more support from the CRA.[70]

Nonetheless, even if there may not exist a mandala that is on a systemic level or that concerns capitalism, there appears to be a narrower developmental mandala. The BRICS rhetoric also emphasises the well-established problems of global governance—that poverty and lack of social and physical infrastructure, water and electricity are highly tangible problems even among the BRICS themselves. Mielniczuk has argued that construction of a new discourse can have long-term effects on how we see the world, how we create shared purposes and how we imagine the future.[71] It begins with ideational delinking from established and predominant discourses. Thus, some scholars have shown that to some extent, the BRICS countries have already caused a rupture in ideas about development. This is also evident from the NDB’s General Strategy,[72] which seems to invite discussions and debates on development:

The bank will constructively engage the international community as an independent voice on development trends and practices. As a new institution, NDB has much to learn from the wealth of experience of multilateral and bilateral development institutions, as well as civil society and academic organizations.

In the context of the developmental mandala, there would be need for a righteous conqueror. BRICS has so far failed to shoulder this responsibility even if it has created space in both developmental discourses and institutional structures.[73] If the BRICS objective is indeed to advance reforms that are conducive to a more equitable and multipolar world order, their promotion of ideational and discursive pluralism, be it about political economy or cultures, should be in line with that objective. BRICS has promoted pluralism in global institutions as well as at the regional level. During BRICS summits, it has become a practice that the host country also organises a simultaneous conference for some regional organisation. For example, during the Ufa Summit in 2017, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) was convened together with BRICS. In this sense, BRICS seems to be working as an enabler and promoter of multiple layers of cooperation.

On the global level, BRICS has faced opposition from the former hegemonic powers. For example, reforms of the IMF quota system had already been agreed upon at the Group of 20 meeting in 2008, a year before the first BRIC summit, but were stopped by the US Congress until 2016.[74] That failure met with harsh criticism from the BRICS. The BRICS summit declaration from 2015 states that “[w]e remain deeply disappointed with the prolonged failure by the United States to ratify the IMF 2010 reform package, which continues to undermine the credibility, legitimacy and effectiveness of the IMF.”[75]

Similarly, BRICS concerns with the UN has focused on unilateralism. In various summits, they have condemned “unilateral military interventions, economic sanctions and arbitrary use of unilateral coercive measures in violation of international law.”[76]Conflicts in Libya and Syria and the dispute about Iran’s nuclear weapons are major triggers for these concerns. In these conflicts, BRICS has emphasised sovereignty and non-interference, while responsibility to protect human rights have been more important for the discourse of the US and its allies. The US has been and continues to be the ‘enemy’ also in the WTO and in matters of economic interdependencies. Prior to the Donald Trump presidency, BRICS voiced concerns about developed country regional trade agreements, which contain high regulatory standards that could induce additional costs and serve as barriers to market access for developing countries. The BRICS countries have also voiced their concern over the US refusal to appoint a WTO judge, which could “paralyse the dispute settlement system and undermine the rights and obligations of all Members.”[77]

4.2. Interstate Mandala

Transnational mandalas thus would seem to encompass developmental concerns as well as concerns about global governance. In these cases, BRICS can be seen as an actor in its own right, and indeed, one can argue that there is a need for global leadership or a vijigisu that would propose solutions to solve common problems. At the same time, it can be asked, why has BRICS’ role so far been modest?  This depends on the nature of BRICS as not only part of transnational mandalas but also itself part of the interstate mandalas of its member states.

States are important even in transnational contexts and thus for example the developmental mandala comprises of global and regional institutions, corporations as well as states, who have also other strategic interests. While in the transnational context and with regard to development and pluralist global governance, India and China cooperate through various arenas like BRICS, NDP, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), these initiatives can also be seen as foreign policy measures and employment of the four upayas by an aspirant conqueror, China. From India-centric mandala, they can be seen as tools of its enemy to legitimise its growing influence, make friends out of potential rivals, and through economic transactions tie India’s constituent elements closer to itself.

This does not imply that developmental mandala or transnational mandalas would not exist or that the BRICS countries (or China and India, in particular) would not have common interests. It does, however, imply that BRICS agendas are forged within inter-state mandalas, where India has to be cautious about China and thus, where the dynamics between these two countries affect the manner in which they cooperate on the transitional level. Two conclusions can be made from these observations.

First, with regard to the developmental mandala, it would be desirable that BRICS could emerge as a vijigisu, a righteous conqueror that would lead international cooperation to solve problems of basic social and physical infrastructure, environmental degradation and climate warming. Each of BRICS members can seek to take that role and from a normative perspective, they should see it as their obligation.

Second, each BRICS member also has an obligation to protect the welfare of their peoples and other transnationally entwined elements of their sovereignty, as well as to optimise their influence over these elements. In other words, they have to be inquisitive about the policies of other BRICS members. Considering that China has launched three huge economic initiatives—the RCEP, AIIB and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)—BRICS members also need to be cautious to not bandwagon with these initiatives, unless they are convinced that China is a righteous conqueror and they are willing to subject themselves to it.

Consequently, from the Kautilyan perspective it appears that the questions about whether or not BRICS has what it takes to become a global leader in development and global governance, or whether it should or should not aspire for such a role, might be the wrong ones to ask – at least for now. The main reason is that the precondition for BRICS to be able to create a common political agenda for economic development and global governance is the rise of a vijigisu among them. In the contemporary context, this would appear far-fetched. At the same time, BRICS countries do have common concerns as when BRICS as an alliance functions as an agent of global dialogue and promoter of pluralism, it would seem to best serve these interests.

This paper proposes to approach BRICS through the assessment of the dynamics of conflict and cooperation in transnational and interstate mandalas. Using these analytical lenses would not seem to pose an analytical dilemma per se, yet it bears witness to the emerging dynamics of pluralistic international relations. To study these dynamics from descriptive, strategic and normative approaches, a Kautilyan perspective would be useful. Further research in developing these ideas as well as applying them on contemporary politics is needed.

V. Conclusion

This paper has sought to develop conceptual tools to study international relations through an interpretative analysis of Kautilya’s Arthashastra. It then applied this perspective on conceptualising BRICS using the so-called BRICS paradox as a litmus test for the Kautilyan perspective. This brief analysis of BRICS has demonstrated the applicability of the perspective. It sought to present the overlapping transnational and interstate mandalas as an analytical tool to examine the dynamics of conflict and cooperation that define BRICS as an international agent and which explain the so-called BRICS paradox.

The Kautilyan perspective has successfully passed its litmus test; it has relevance for IR studies for four reasons. First, classical texts provide an important source from which to reconceptualise the present, to rethink, refine and even challenge well-established theorisations. Second, Kautilya forms a crucial element in the conceptual history of IR. Third, Kautilya can be employed to study and understand India’s contemporary foreign politics. Fourth, Kautilya’s Arthashastra can be used to complement and develop contemporary IR and strategic analysis.

The main conceptual contribution of this paper relates to the concepts of mandala and conquest, or the nature of international relations and the main foreign policy objectives. Two types of circles were presented, transnational and interstate mandalas.  In transnational mandalas, the central agent may be an international organisation or some other agent of global governance. In interstate mandalas, the central node of analysis is a state, albeit the circles around it involve non-state actors and/or international organisations.

Finally, with regard to future research, the perspective provided here may be used to study differences, commonalities and complementarities between this and the established IR perspectives. As Kautilya was a realist political theorist, it would be particularly promising to enquire into the relationship between the Kautilyan perspective developed here and some of the key notions in other realist theories. For example, what is the relation between ‘transnationally intertwined state factors’ and ‘national interest’ or ‘institutional constraints’, and how do the ideas of ‘conquest’ and the ‘circle of states’ relate to ‘multilateral diplomacy’ or ‘hegemonic transition’?

Author’s note

I am grateful for the comments by Professor Harsh V. Pant from Observer Research Foundation, and the three anonymous referees invited by the editor of ORF, Vinia Datinguinoo Mukherjee as well as The Third World Thematics (TWT). I am particularly thankful for the challenging critique to an earlier version of this paper from one of the TWT referees, and from the ORF referee to a later version of it, which have helped to improve and further develop the ideas presented as well as to consolidate my arguments. I am also thankful to my mentor and friend, Emeritus Professor Jyrki Käkönen and my colleague and friend, Dr. Gabriel Rached for inspiring discussions and for sharing their knowledge and perceptions. I also wish to thank the Kone Foundation for making this research possible and enabling its open access publication. An earlier version of this paper, “Emerging powers and new global politics? An Indian perspective on the BRICS paradox”, was published under CC BY 4.0 License in the journal Third World Thematics: A TWQ Journal on 07 Jul 2019, available at https://doi.org/10.1080/23802014.2019.1636713.


Endnotes

[1] Arthashastra can be translated as ‘science of politics’ (e.g. Boesche 2003) and it was composed between the 3rd and 2nd centuries BCE.

[2] The Merriam Webster Dictionary defines mandala as ‘a graphic and often symbolic pattern usually in the form of a circle divided into four separate sections, in Kautilya, it refers to circles of kings.

[3] Brexit or the British Exit of the European Union was supported by about 52 percent of the voters in a Brexit Referendum in 2016. Since then, the UK and the EU have been negotiating for the terms of exit with due date on October 2019.

[1]. John Mearsheimer, “The Gathering Storm: China’s Challenge to US Power in Asia,” Chinese Journal of International Politics 3, no. 4 (2010); Brzezinski, Zbigniew, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and its Geostrategic Imperatives (New York: Basic Books, 1997); John Ikenberry, After Victory: Institutions, Strategic Restraint, and the Rebuilding of Order after Major Wars (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2001).

[2]. Naná de Graaff and Bastiaan van Apeldoorn, “US-China Relations and the Liberal World Order: Contending Elites, Colliding Visions?” International Affairs 94, no. 1 (2018); Gregory Chin, “Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: Governance Innovation and Prospects,” Global Governance 22, no. 1 (2016); Mearsheimer, “The Gathering Storm”; Ronald Tammen et al., Power Transition Strategies for the 21st Century(Washington, DC: CQ Press, 2000).

[3]. Daniel Drezner, “The System Worked: Global Economic Governance during the Great Recession,” World Politics 66, no. 1 (2014); Matthew Stephen, “Rising Powers, Global Capitalism and Liberal Global Governance: A Historical Materialist Account of the BRICs Challenge,” European Journal of International Relations 20, no. 4 (2014); John  Ikenberry, “Why the Liberal World Order Will Survive,” Ethics and International Affairs 32, no. 1 (2018).

[4]. Amitav Acharya and Barry Buzan, Non-Western International Relations Theory: Perspectives on and beyond Asia (London: Routledge, 2009); Samuel Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations. Remaking of World Order (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1996).

[5]. Samir Saran, “Globalisation and the Celebration of Unique Cultures Work Together within BRICS” Raisina Debates, Observer Research Foundation (29 May 2018); Marko Juutinen, “Leadership”, in Leading Change in a Complex World, eds. Anni Kangas, Johanna Kujala, Anna Heikkinen, Antti Lönnqvist, Harri Laihonen and Julia Bethwaite (Tampere: Tampere University Press, 2019); Ramesh Thakur, “How Representative Are BRICS?” Third World Quarterly 35, no. 10 (2014); Matthew Stephen, “Emerging Powers and Emerging Trends in Global Governance,” Global Governance 23, no. 3 (2017).

[6]. Giulio Gallarotti, “Le Paradoxe Pragmatique: Les BRICS Comme Vecteur de La Diplomatie d’influence (A Pragmatic Paradox: The BRICS Countries as Vehicles for Soft Power Diplomacy), ”Hermès, La Revue 79, no. 3 (2017):.

[7]. Patrick Bond and Ana Garcia. Brics: An Anticapitalist Critique (London: Pluto, 2015); Eduardo Gudynas, “Beyond Varieties of Development: Disputes and Alternatives,” Third World Quarterly 37, no. 4 (2016).

[8]. Jyrki Käkönen and Marko Juutinen, “BRICS as Paradox”, in BRICS Framing a New Global Communication Order, eds., Daya Kishan Thussu and Kaarle Nordenstreng (Routledge, forthcoming.).

[9]. Ikenberry, “Why the Liberal World”; Marko Juutinen and Jyrki Käkönen, Battle for Globalisations? BRICS and US Mega-Regional Trade Agreements in a Changing World Order (New Delhi: Observer Research Foundation, 2016),

[10]. Tammen et al., Power Transition.

[11]. Juutinen and Käkönen, Battle for Globalisations; Stephen, “Rising Powers”.

[12]. Michael Mastanduno, “A Realist View”, in International Order and the Future of World Politics, eds., John Hall and T.V. Paul (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999).

[13]. Manoj Joshi, ”Doklam: To start at the very beginning,” ORF Special Report 40, (2017).

[14]. Ikenberry, “Why the Liberal World,” 21.

[15]. Ibid., 19; John Hobson, The Eurocentric Conception of World Politics (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2012)..

[16]. Shyam Saran, How India Sees the World: Kautilya to the 21st Century (New Delhi: Juggernaut, 2017); Parag Khanna, The Future Is Asian (New Delhi: Simon & Schuster, 2019).; Edward Alpers, The Indian Ocean in World History (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014).

[17]. Michael Liebig, “Kauṭilya’s Arthaśāstra: A Classic Text of Statecraft and an Untapped Political Science Resource,” Heidelberg Papers in South Asian and Comparative Politics (2014).

[18]. Acharya and Buzan, Non-Western International Relations Theory.

[19]. Rashed Zaman, “Kautilya: The Indian Strategic Thinker and Indian Strategic Culture,” Comparative Strategy 25, no. 3 (2006): 233-235; Pradeep Gautam, “Understanding”, in The Arthasastra in a Transcultural Perspective: Comparing Kautilya with Sun-Zi, Nizam Al-Mulk, Barani and Machiavelli, ed. Michael Liebig and Saurabh Mishra (New Delhi: Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, 2017): 74, 75.

[20]. George Modelski, “Foreign Policy and International System in the Ancient Hindu World,” The American Political Science Review 58, no. 3 (1964):  549, 550.

[21]. Gautam, “Understanding Kautilya’s Arthasastra,” 68.

[22]. Saran, How India Sees the World; Zaman, “Kautilya,” 240; Modelski, “Foreign Policy,” 550; Patrick Olivelle, “Manu and the Arthasastra: A Study in Sastric Intertextuality,” Journal of Indian Philosophy 32, nos. 2–3 (2004).

[23]. Colin Farrelly An Introduction to Contemporary Political Theory: A Reader(London: Sage, 2004), 9, 10; Mark Philp, “Political Theory ,“ in Political Theory: Methods and Approaches, ed. David Leopold and Marc Stears (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2008),  144-147; Quentin Skinner, Visions of Politics, Vol. 1: Regarding Method(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2002), 40, 41, 51.

[24]. Roger Boesche, The First Great Realist: Kautilya and his Arthasastra (Oxford: Lexington Books, 2002); Modelski, “Foreign Policy”; Benoy Sarkar, “Hindu Theory of International Relations,” The American Political Science Review 13, no. 3 (1919).

[25]. Pinar Bilgin, “Thinking Past ‘Western’ IR?” Third World Quarterly 29, no. 1 (2008).

[26]. Amitav Acharya, “Dialogue and Discovery: In Search of International Relations Theories beyond the West,” Millennium: Journal of International Studies 39, no. 3 (2011).

[27]. Hobson, Eastern Origins.

[28]. Bilgin, “Thinking Past ‘Western’ IR”; Acharya, and Buzan. Non-Western International Relations Theory; Acharya, “Dialogue and Discovery”; Hobson, The Eurocentric Conception.

[29]. Sarkar, “Hindu Theory”; Modelski, “Foreign Policy”; Boesche, The First Great; Zaman, “Kautilya”; Pradeep Gautam, One Hundred Years of Kautilya’s Arthasastra (New Delhi: Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, 2013), Ch.3; Liebig, “Kautilya’s Arthasasta”; Subrata Mitra and Michael Liebig, Kautilya’s Arthasastra: An Intellectual Portrait (Baden-Baden: Nomos, 2016); Marko Juutinen, “Kautilyan foreign policy analysis: Sino-Indian dynamics in South Asia and the Indian Ocean region,” Journal of the Indian Ocean Region 14, no 2 (2018): 211-216.

[30]. Juutinen, “Kautilyan Foreign Policy Analysis,” 210.

[31]. Gautam, One Hundred Years, 51; Liebig, “Kautilya’s Arthasasta,” 6, 8, 10; Mitra and Liebig, Kautilya’s Arthasasta. 127; Rudrapatna Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra(Bangalore: Government Press, 1915), 99, 100; R P Kangle, The Kautilya Arthasastra, Vol.2 (New Delhi: Motilal Banarsidass Publishers, 2014), Sutra 7.14.11.

[32]. Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, 367; Kangle, The Kautilya Arthasastra, sutras 6.2.13-23, 318, 319.

[33]. Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, 366, 367; Kangle, The Kautilya Arthasastra, sutras 6.2.13-23; Gautam, One Hundred Years, 54, 55.

[34]. E.g., Modelski, “Foreign Policy”, 550; Boesche, The First, 16.  

[35]. Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, 366; Kangle, The Kautilya Arthasastra, sutras 6.2.14; Boesche, The First, 78.

[36]. Gautam, One Hundred Years, 99; Sarkar, “Hindu Theory,” 405.

[37]. Liebig, “Kauṭilya’s Arthaśāstra,” 3, 4.

[38]. Daniel Elazar, Constitutionalizing Globalization. The Postmodern Revival of Confederal Arrangements (New York: Rowman & Littlefield, 1998).

[39]. James Rosenau and Ernst-Otto Czempiel, Governance without Government: Order and Change in World Politics (London: Cambridge University Press, 1992).

[40]. Jan Scholte, “Global governance”, in Building Global Democracy? Civil Society and Accountable Global Governance, ed. Jan Scholte (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2011), 11.

[41]. Mitra and Liebig, Kautilya’s Arthasasta, 127, 132; Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, 368; Rangarajan, Kautilya, 525.

[42]. Ramachandran, K.N. ‘Sun Zi and Kautilya: Towards a Comparative Analysis’. Strategic Analysis 38, no. 3 (2014):  393.

[43]. Kangle, The Kautilya Arthasastra, sutras 1.19.34.

[44]. Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, 52; Kangle, The Kautilya Arthasastra, sutras 1.19.35-36.

[45]. Shamasastry, book VIII, Concerning Vices and Calamities, Chapter I, 446.

[46]. Liebig, “Kauṭilya’s Arthaśāstra,” 10; Juutinen and Käkönen, Battle for Globalisations, 17.

[47]. Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, 362-364; Kangle, The Kautilya Arthasastra, sutra 6.1.1.

[48]. Boesche, The First, 45, 62; Deepshikha Shahi, Kautilya and Non-Western IR Theory (Basingstoke: Palgrave, 2018)..

[49]. World Economic Forum, Accessed on 15 February 2019.

[50]. Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, Book VI, Chapter I, 363; Book I, Chapters XI and XII.

[51]. Boesche, The First, 106–108.

[52]. L N Rangarajan, Kautilya: The Arthasastra (London: Penguin Books, 1992), 29, 37, 38; Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, 9, 10.

[53]. Stillman, Peter. G. The Concept of Legitimacy. Polity, 7, no. 1 (1974):  42.

[54]. Compare, Juutinen, ”Kautilyan Foreign Policy Analysis,” 214, 215.

[55].  Saran, How India Sees the World.

[56]. Sarkar, “Hindu Theory,” 401, 409; Boesche, The First, 4, 79; Liebig, “Kautilya’s Arthasasta, 15; Gautam, One Hundred Years, 124.

[57]. Shamasastry, Kautilya’s Arthasastra, 1, 19, 51, 362; Kangle, The Kautilya Arthasastra, sutra 1.7.1.

[58]. Ibid., 366; Gautam, One Hundred Years, 47, 56.

[59]. Liebig, “Kauṭilya’s Arthaśāstra,” 14.

[60]. See Ibid, 14, 17.

[61]. BRICS, Joint Statement, 2nd BRIC Summit, 2010, nos. 1, 2.

[62]. Ibid.

[63]. Kristen Hopewell, Breaking the WTO: How Emerging Powers Disrupted the Neoliberal Project. (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2016).

[64]. Niall Duggan, “BRICS,” in The European Union and the BRICS: Complex Relations in the Era of Global Governance, ed. Marek Rewizorski (Springer: Heidelberg, 2015).

[65]. Fabiano Mielniczuk, “BRICS in the Contemporary World: Changing Identities, Converging Interests,” Third World Quarterly 34, no. 6 (2013).

[66]. Sarah Babb, “The Washington Consensus as Transnational Policy Paradigm: Its Origins, Trajectory and Likely Successor,” Review of International Political Economy 20, no. 2 (2013)Gudynas, “Beyond Varieties of Development”.

[67]. Stephen, ”Rising Powers”; Andreas Nölke et al., ”Domestic Structures, Foreign Economic Policies and Global Economic Order: Implications from the Rise of Large Emerging Economies,” European Journal of International Relations 21, no. 3 (2015).

[68]. Patrick Bond, “BRICS Banking and the Debate over Subimperialism,” Third World Quarterly 37, no. 4 (2016).

[69]. Patrick Bond and Desmond D´sa, “Why the Durban harbour project will be horrible blunder,” Independent Online, (10 June 2018).

[70]. Ibid.; also Bond and Garcia, “Brics: Anti-Capitalist Critique”.

[71]. Mielniczuk, “BRICS in the Contemporary World”.

[72]. NDB, NDB’s General Strategy 2017–2021 (New Development Bank, 2017), 11.

[73]. Juutinen, “Leadership”

[74]. G20 Declaration of the Summit on Financial Markets and the World Economy. G20 Special Leaders Summit on the Financial Situation, Washington, DC, United States of America, November 15, 2008.

[75]. BRICS Ufa Declaration, no. 19.

[76]. BRICS Fortaleza Declaration, nos. 8, 27; BRICS Goa Declaration, no. 9; BRICS Xiamen Declaration, no. 38.

[77]. BRICS Johannesburg Declaration, no. 64.


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Wednesday, June 14, 2023

India's Foreign Policy: Challenges and Opportunities By Amb (Retd) Ashok Sajjanhar

 Courtesy: https://www.mea.gov.in/distinguished-lectures-detail.htm?78

I would like to warmly and sincerely thank the Public Diplomacy Wing of the External Publicity Division of MEA and IIT, Jodhpur for the kind invitation to be with you and for facilitating my visit to this young and prestigious Institution. I am deeply honoured and privileged to be here to address you. 

I will speak to you on ‘’Indian Foreign Policy: Challenges and Opportunities’’. 

I will begin my Presentation by speaking briefly about the essential elements and determinants of India’s Foreign Policy. I will briefly touch upon changes that have taken place on the international scene over the last decade or so as also how the world views India today. Thereafter I will address myself to some of our more important bilateral relations in addition to some significant themes that engage our attention today. I look forward to your questions and comments after my Presentation on any issue that I have addressed or even those that I might not have touched upon due to paucity of time.

It would be useful to remember that the foremost task of India’s foreign policy is to enable the domestic transformation of India. It is to ensure security from external aggression, inviolability and integrity of its borders as well as prosperity for the people of India. Foreign Policy serves as an enabler to meet the demands and aspirations of our people while at the same time ensuring peace and security on our borders. Our foreign policy seeks the transformation of our economy and society while promoting our values of pluralism, democracy and secularism. This requires us to work for a supportive external environment that is peaceful, thus enabling us to concentrate on our growth and development. At the broadest level, our foreign policy seeks security and support from the international community as we build and transform our society and economy. In the sixty years since its inception, our foreign policy has evolved. It has adjusted to meet new challenges and unprecedented crisis situations, as well as risen to meet the needs of intensified economic engagement with the world – an engagement that is designed to meet the needs of an increased inflow of capital, technology, ideas and innovation for our development and our re-emergence as one of the world’s leading economies. As the globe continues to shrink, impelled by unrelenting technological advances and information implosion, the canvas inevitably grows ever bigger and wider.

Lord Palmerston of England once said ‘’There are no permanent friends, there are no permanent enemies, only permanent interests’’. This is particularly true for conducting a country’s foreign policy. At times the greatest challenge is to determine the permanent interests that motivate and inspire a country to act in a particular manner. It might be easy to identify our interests in a broad, macro context but application of this principle in any specific case or context could differ widely. It also needs to be remembered that morals, ideals, ethics and principles need to be meshed with considerations of practicality and realpolitik. Policy based either only on morality or ethics or only on short term practical considerations is more likely to become unsustainable and unworkable in the medium and long term.

At this stage it would be useful to briefly recapitulate the remarkable changes that have occurred over the last decade or so on the international scene. The first aspect I would place in this category is the advent of globalisation which has not only brought down barriers to movement of goods, capital, technology, people and investments across international borders but has also significantly promoted the exchange of thoughts, ideas, experiences and views amongst people in the world. This has made our world much more inter-dependent than has been the case anytime in the past. Globalisation has been accompanied by the advent of multi-polarity. Gone are the days of bipolarity when USA and the Soviet Union were the most powerful and influential nations in the world. Gone also are the days of a single power viz the USA holding unchallenged sway over international affairs. The last 10 years have seen emergence of several poles of power and significance which exert considerable influence on events and developments in different parts of the world. These changes have been accompanied by the rise of terrorism which is the worst scourge to have afflicted humanity ever in its long and tortuous history. The next significant determining aspect of developments over the last decade I would say is the sudden and unexpected onslaught of the international economic crisis. This started from the USA in 2007 but which rolled over into the euro sovereign debt crisis in Europe two years later. This is the worst global crisis to have hit the world since the great Depression of the late 1920s. It brought most of the international economies particularly those of the west to their knees. We are yet to see the end of it. An accompanying though not necessarily related aspect I would like to mention is the rise of Asia. Economic centre of gravity is surely shifting towards Asia making several analysts and observers to call the 21st century as the Asian Century. The jury is still out as to how the next few decades will turn out but there can be no denying the fact that the first decade of the century has seen a rapid and unprecedented rise of Asian economies, not only of China and India but also of Indonesia, Vietnam, South Korea and others. At the end I will refer to the rise of technology, increased use of internet, the rapid growth of social media.

India has also undergone a remarkable transformation over the last two decades. Before looking at some specific changes within the country, it will be useful to recount the manner in which the world perceives India today. The first and foremost defining aspect of India today is that it continues to be a democracy notwithstanding the huge diversity and disparity that prevails in the country. India became independent after the Second World War along with a large number of other countries. The generally accepted wisdom then was that democracy and poverty cannot co-exist together. That democracy and inequitable distribution of wealth don’t go together. This theory was proved right by most countries that started out as democracies after breaking off from the colonial yoke but very soon descended into depths of autocratic or authoritarian rule or military dictatorships. You can look around and will observe that from Latin America to the Middle East, from Africa to Asia this hypothesis was proved correct. The one solitary and brightly shining exception to this rule is India. As you know India was rendered poor as a result of 200 years of colonial rule. Before that for much of the period, India accounted for around 25%of the world’s GDP. The colonial servitude had also made the distribution of wealth heavily skewed and inequitable. India started out as a democracy after independence and its vibrancy and dynamism has continued to grow with the passage of time. One of the essential features of a democratic system is the conduct of elections and as you are aware, this year 814 million people are expected to exercise their franchise in a largely peaceful, free, fair and transparent process to elect a Government which will seamlessly and smoothly assume power after the results are announced on 16th May. The enormity of the exercise can be judged from the fact that the size of the Indian electorate is more than the total population of the whole of European Union comprising of 28 countries and the United States of America put together.

The second aspect regarding India that amazes the world is its diversity. And this is true not only in terms of its religious plurality which in itself is quite unique and remarkable. There is no other country in the world that is the birthplace of four major religions of the world. Hinduism was born more than 5,000 years ago on this soil. Budhism and Jainism appeared about 2,500 years ago. Sikhism, the latest entrant was born about 500 years ago. All the other major religions of the world also came to this land and were warmly and enthusiastically embraced and accepted. Christianity appeared in 57 AD when St Thomas landed on the shores of Kerala to preach the gospel of the Lord. He was warmly received by the rulers of the time and provided with all facilities and support to carry out his Mission. Other religions also came at different times and have flourished and blossomed in the country on account of the keen and ardent welcome given to them..

India’s plurality and composite culture is also reflected in the wide range and multiplicity of languages, music, art, dance, literature, cuisine, costumes, traditions, practices, beliefs and faiths that peacefully and happily co-exist and adorn our land. Many countries, several of them in the recent past, have broken asunder as they have not been able to deal with their diversity in terms of language or culture or ethnicity or religion. India on the other hand has not only survived but on the contrary has flourished and prospered and grown in the rainbow of hues. Our diversity has emerged as our strength.

The next distinctive feature I would like to emphasise is India’s youthful population, also called as ‘’India’s demographic dividend’’. More than 50% of India’s population is comprised of young people below the age of 25 years. India’s median age is around 26 years. While the whole world from USA to China, from Europe to Japan is greying and getting older, India will continue to benefit from the ‘’demographic advantage’’ at least for the next 30 years and more. There is both empirical as well as theoretical evidence to prove that countries blessed with the youth bulge can expect high rates of economic growth for several decades. India hence stands at the threshold of a rapid growth in its economy provided it can improve its governance, ensure that right policies are adopted and implemented and also that appropriate facilities in terms of physical and social infrastructure like roads, ports, education, skill development, health care etc are made available to our young, motivated and ambitious population. The happy news is that all political parties are fully seized of the importance of these issues which are likely to receive their topmost attention whichever Government assumes office next month.

The final defining element that I would like to suggest for your consideration is India’s economic growth and development over the last 2 decades and the promise and potential of its huge market and innovative capability over the coming years. Notwithstanding the somewhat lacklustre economic performance over the last 2 years, India has the potential to grow at 8-9% if the right policies are put in place. Our Savings rate is around 32%; our investment rate is also in the similar range; our inward remittances are the highest in the world at around USD 70 billion per annum. 

The extraordinary changes of the last two decades are fundamentally transforming India’s economy and society. The consistent high economic growth in this period has not only helped empower a large number of our citizens but has also led to increased engagement of India with the outside world. If we can maintain high growth rates, leverage that growth to enhance the capabilities of our citizens, and maintain robust democratic traditions and institutions, there are few limits to India’s global role and influence. Our economic growth requires deepened economic engagement with the outside world at all levels: trade, labour, technology and ideas. And India now has an increasing range of interests, which are anchored in different parts of the world and which stem from a wide range of factors: for instance, the need to secure energy and other vital natural resources; the imperative of maintaining open shipping lanes; the imperative of seeking investments and trade opportunities overseas; the need to secure trade access, and so on. 

At the same time, spurred by advances in technology and global communications, we have witnessed emergence of new opportunities, enhanced productivity and higher living standards across the world. People across remote corners of our planet can be in touch with each other in real time, thanks to the rapid and dramatic developments in internet technologies. Developments in distant places, which once took time to impact other parts of the world, are now known almost instantaneously. Technology and social media is empowering people and one example of that change is how events relating to the Arab Spring were triggered some years ago.

The very same processes of globalization and technological revolution that have brought with them so many benefits to the world have also exposed our collective vulnerability. The benefits of globalization have been uneven and new challenges have been thrown up like growing inequity and inequality across and within nations, volatility in the financial market and environmental deterioration; and groups of radicals, extremists, hackers, pirates and terrorists have sought to utilize new technologies to gain asymmetrical advantage. The new global order is as yet not fully formed. 

Our strategic goals as I mentioned earlier are basically to enable the domestic transformation of India by accelerated growth and a strategic autonomy that safeguards the national interest at all times in this overall global context. These goals will not change for a long time. But this does not mean that India is going to be insular or inward looking. On the contrary, our engagement with the world has accelerated and grown exponentially over the last few years. We have benefitted from our integration into the global economy since the 1990s. And this engagement is only bound to grow as India actively pursues its interests in the world and remains ready to contribute within her capacity. We want to maintain an open global order at many different levels. Our vision of a secular, pluralistic and tolerant society within the country, embracing a multiplicity and diversity of opinions and outlook, is sought to be articulated in our dealings with the world.

Against this background let me briefly elaborate some of the main priority areas of focus for our foreign policy.

In terms of geography, India's foreign policy has always regarded the concept of neighborhood as one of widening concentric circles, around a central axis of historical and cultural commonalties. From this point of view, it has always given due priority to the development of relations with the countries of Asia. An article of steadfast faith in our foreign policy has been to ensure a peaceful, secure and stable neighbourhood, so as to safeguard peace, security and development within our own borders and it is with this perspective that India is developing a mutually beneficial relationship with all her neighbours. In South Asia, India has been driven by the vision of encouraging regional integration to bring about peace and prosperity for the more than one and a half billion people living in this region. As part of this vision, this geography of hope, we have been implementing a policy of asymmetric engagement in providing greater market access to our neighbours, which enables regional integration in a mutually beneficial manner. We understand very well, that we cannot be insulated from our neighbourhood; our growth and prosperity has a beneficial impact on the rest of the region, and increasingly, we will have to build closer connectivities in trade, communications and other networks of interaction between ourselves and our neighbours. 

China is our closest and largest neighbor. We share a border of around 4,000 kms with China. An oft repeated axiom states that large countries that neighbor each other can never be fully at peace with one another. This is true of USA and Canada, China and Russia, Brazil and Argentina, France and Germany and several others. This is true of India and China also. China is a unique case because it has the largest population in the world with a rapidly expanding economy which is likely to outstrip the US economy by the end of the decade if not earlier to become the largest economy in the world. China’s emergence as one of the pre-eminent powers in the international system has immense consequences for India because of a host of factors, like geographical proximity; historical memories; the unresolved border dispute; the presence of Dalai Lama in India; the Tibet question; Chinese military modernization; uncertainties regarding Chinese intentions; its relation with India’s neighbors, especially Pakistan; the potential expansion of China’s maritime power into the Indian Ocean; growing economic inter-dependence between the two countries; its string of pearls strategy, sharing of river waters; issuance of stapled visas to Indian citizens of J&K; denial of visas to Indian residents of Arunachal Pradesh, and the potential for resource competition in West Asia, Latin America and Africa. In the years ahead, the relationship will continue to be characterized by both competition and cooperation. We have attempted to establish a strategic and cooperative partnership with China. It has emerged as the largest trading partner in goods of India, and our engagement is now multi-faceted. The maintenance of peace and tranquillity on our borders with China, and the quest for a peaceful, negotiated settlement of the outstanding boundary question, are areas of crucial importance in our bilateral relationship. Therefore, even as India continues to engage with China to promote better understanding on border management, trade, climate change, global governance and a host of other issues of mutual interest, it needs to put in place a robust strategy to defend its territorial integrity and its interests in the region and the world. India is concerned about China’s economic, military and cyber-war potential, and hopes China will gradually step into the role of a responsible stakeholder in world security. India and the world will judge China's rise not by pronouncements of its intentions but through its actions. Neither India nor China enjoy the luxury of being on antagonistic terms with each other. We must never disregard the fact that China suffers many handicaps and disabilities that are sometimes concealed by its economic rise and ignored by its admirers. It has serious problems with ethnic minorities like the Uigurs and Tibetans. There are challenges of banks riddled with bad loans, finding employment and pensions for a large rapidly ageing workforce, adverse demographic composition on account of a shrinking labour force and fast greying population, social inequality of destabilizing proportions, among the highest in the world. There is simmering dissent among its netizens and civil society. There is rampant corruption at all levels, and environmental degradation. The country has grown to an extraordinary extent over the past three decades, but it may be harder to sustain it and to achieve internal consensus on what comes next.

Engaging Pakistan will be a key challenge for India’s strategy in the foreign and security policy arena in the coming years. Pakistan is undergoing social, political and economic turmoil. It is likely to remain weak, turbulent and troublesome for the foreseeable future notwithstanding the successful elections and smooth change of guard and the positive signals that emanated from PM Nawaz Sharif just after he took over the reins of office. The brutal killings of our soldiers by the Pakistan Army, the repeated cease fire violations at LOC and the bellicose statements emerging from across our western border strongly suggest that we are in for a period of increasing tension, instability and heightened possibility of terrorist and militant attacks engineered and master-minded from across our western frontier. India must prepare itself to deal with the increasing instability in Pakistan. It should keep up its vigilance to anticipate and respond to a range of emergencies that may stem from Pakistan’s weaknesses. Pakistan needs to realise that use of terrorism as an instrument of state policy against India is counter-productive. Pakistan harbours a mistaken impression that it can continue with its support to terrorism without getting affected itself or without resulting in an adverse impact on its international reputation and standing. In fact the rise of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan and the perilous state of that country's economy and energy shortages can be attributed directly to Pakistan's support of terrorist operations through its home grown and funded jihadi groups. While preparing to meet any eventuality, India must continue to reinforce its efforts to see Pakistan emerge as a stable, secure and prosperous democracy. India must take advantage of support of opinion makers in Pakistani society for closer economic cooperation by relaxing the ban on investment and granting access to Pakistani goods in Indian markets.

Bangladesh can be termed as a success story of our foreign policy over the last 5 years. Since the advent of Sheikh Hasina government, our relations in the area of security, strategic ties, economy, industry, and investment have soared. It is expected that this positive trend will continue for the next few years since the Sheikh Hasina Government has recently extended its term of office by another 5 years. Bangladesh has been cooperating actively with us to control insurgency in our North Eastern States. This has brought considerable peace to the Region so that the people and the governments in the States can engage themselves for improving living conditions of the people. India however needs to sign the Teesta water sharing Agreement quickly as also to ratify the Agreement for Exchange of Enclaves and Adverse Possessions. 

Recent developments in Sri Lanka particularly abstaining by India at the last Resolution of the UN Human Rights Council to set up a Body to investigate the human rights abuses by the SL Security Forces have provided a window of opportunity to make a course correction in our relations and bring them on a more secure, sound and firmer footing.SL is an extremely important neighbor both for our security as well as for our trade and economic interests. China and Pakistan have been fishing in troubled waters as our policy on dealing with this important neighbor has shown signs of wavering and dithering in the recent past on account of the increased involvement of domestic players and political parties of Tamil Nadu in our relations. It is necessary to evolve a national consensus on our relations with this important neighbor. The Bilateral Free Trade Agreement has yielded good dividends for Sri Lanka. It is essential to upgrade it to a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement. SL has been dragging its feet over taking this forward on account of the strained political ties. 

Looking beyond this immediate neighborhood, we have also been expanding our circles of engagement, starting with South-east Asia, the Indian Ocean region, West Asia, Central Asia, Africa, and the world’s major powers.

Afghanistan is another country in our neighborhood which is of critical importance to us.US and NATO ISAF forces will start their drawdown beginning 2014. In fact the drawdown started in the middle of last year when responsibility for maintaining security all over the country was handed over to the Afghan National Security Forces and the International Security Forces are engaged only in training and special operations. Afghanistan of today is very different from the Afghanistan of 2001. It has a professional and well trained army which is motivated and committed and can stand its own against all attacks of the Taliban. More girls are going to school than have ever before pursued education. Women are getting increasingly and actively involved and engaged in social, educational and professional activities including in governance and assuming leadership positions. The high voter turnout in Presidential Elections on 5th April notwithstanding the threat of disruption and bomb attacks by the Taliban is most impressive and inspiring. Security and economic development are the prerequisite needs of Afghan society today. India has been actively engaged in the stabilisation and growth of Afghanistan over the last 10 years. Our total assistance amounting to more than US $2 billion has been guided by the priorities of the Afghan government and people. We have helped in construction of the Pul-e-Khumri power station and transmission line to Kabul, the strategic Zaranj-Delaram Road, the Parliament building, the Salma dam and several other significant projects like schools, hospitals, roads, training of Afghan Security forces, human resources and skill development etc.. Afghanistan has the potential of becoming a bridge between South Asia and Central Asia and beyond for trade, commerce, connectivity, pipelines, energy etc..India has been in close contact with Regional Powers including Russia, Iran, Central Asia, and China as well as with the Istanbul Process consisting of 18 countries to ensure that peace and economic progress continues in Afghanistan after 2014. India is committed to helping build Afghan institutions and capacities in order to deal with threats of terrorism, religious extremism and other centrifugal tendencies.

Central Asia is a strategically important region for us. It consists of 5 countries with which India has close, warm and friendly relations. However the promise of expansion of our ties which presented itself immediately after their independence on the disintegration of the Soviet Union in 1991 has been belied. One of the important factors for this is the absence of land connectivity between India and these countries. Many of these countries are rich in mineral resources. For instance Kazakhstan is reported to have rich deposits and commercially viable quantities of more than 100 minerals and elements on the Mendeleev Table. RK has the world’s second largest reserves of uranium ore and huge supplies of coal, iron ore, copper, magnesium, gold, oil, gas, titanium, lead, zinc and many more. Turkmenistan has huge supplies of gas. Uzbekistan has copious quantities of gold, uranium, gas, cotton. Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan have abundant supplies of hydro energy. In addition the strategic location particularly in the context of impending changes in Afghanistan enhances the significance and importance of these countries to India. India launched the Connect Central Asia Policy a few years ago to strengthen and revitalize our partnership with these countries. It needs to be supported and nurtured assiduously and energetically. We need to interest and engage our Private Sector to give greater attention and focus to opportunities of infrastructure projects, joint ventures, internationally aided and funded projects in the fields of roads, transport, telecommunication, power, energy etc.. 

South East Asia begins with North East India. Myanmar is our land bridge to the countries of the ASEAN. Today, winds of change are blowing through Myanmar. We have welcomed these developments and are working with people and government of Myanmar to help build their capacities. 

Through our ‘Look East’ Policy, we have tried to reconnect and reach out in the civilizational space we share with our near neighbours in Southeast Asia since the early 1990s. We are building on our strong bilateral ties, expanding our roles in regional organizations and working to build comprehensive economic partnerships. India and ASEAN have put in place one of the largest free trade agreements on goods. We hope that the early conclusion of a similar Free Trade Agreement in Services and Investments between India and the ASEAN will significantly broaden and deepen this process. We marked the 20th anniversary of commencement of our dialogue partnership with ASEAN in 2012. And, we are adding content to our economic relations with the region through growing strategic and security engagement. We are Members of several Regional Institutions like the ARF, ADMM plus, EAS, ACD and several others. We also share and enjoy and ASEAN plus India Summit relationship with these countries which has energised and re-vitalised our partnership.

I would like to say a few words about Iran. India has consistently said that Iran must cooperate with IAEA to resolve all the outstanding issues about its nuclear program that continue to raise doubts in the minds of the international community. We acknowledge that Iran has the right to utilize the benefits of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes. But, this right has to be exercised in conformity with international obligations that Iran has voluntarily undertaken as a non-nuclear weapon state party to NPT. We have maintained that Iran must comply with its obligations, fully and transparently. But, we also hope that these issues are resolved peacefully. The need of the hour is diplomatic drive and creativity to address the situation. In this regard, we feel that it is a positive development that P5+1 and Iran have come to an understanding as a result of which tension between USA and Iran has lessened considerably. It is our hope that all the sides will engage in a constructive and serious manner to find a way forward. This task will not be easy but we do believe that if the parties demonstrate a seriousness of purpose then gradually the issues can be resolved.

Looking beyond Asia, we have tried to build mutually beneficial ties with all the major powers, foremost among which is the United States. As President Obama stated during his visit to India, this will be a defining relationship of the 21st century. Our relationship with the United States is in fact built on our shared values and converging interests. It is based on our fundamental belief that we have mutually beneficial stakes in each other’s success. We have in the last decade, set up a comprehensive architecture of engagement based on broad political support in each of our countries, strong people to people linkages, and an increasing norm and growing habit of cooperation. Over the past ten years, the two governments have put in place a very robust agenda of cooperation for our partnership that is, to quote Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh, founded on both "principles and pragmatism”. In the years ahead it should be our joint endeavor to build on this foundation, consolidate on the work that has already been done and implement the initiatives that have been agreed upon to qualitatively improve the relationship.

Cooperation on sustainable economic development will be the bedrock of Indo-US strategic partnership. India is working closely with the US on science and technology, food security, education, health, and development of clean energy technologies and renewable energy. The Indian Diaspora in the US needs to be engaged on a sustained basis to further diversify and cement ties between the two nations. Some events over the last few months have put our bilateral relations in turmoil, on an unsteady and unpredictable course. Both countries need to realize that it is not prudent to make only one issue derail the positive developments in our relations. Both our countries need to focus on our strategic ties and ensure that they are restored to their position of primacy without any further delay. 

India enjoys a special and privileged partnership with Russia which is more intense and broad-based than a traditional strategic engagement. Our bilateral ties have successfully withstood the test of all challenges and upheavals over the last 65 years since our independence and have continued to grow from strength to strength. India needs to build on its historical ties to move beyond defense and evolve a partnership that takes advantage of the complementarities in technology, energy and other sectors.

India has much to gain from close cooperation with Europe in matters related to governance, science, energy and defense. India needs to embark on a sustained and simultaneous engagement with major pan-European bodies and individual European governments. Strengthening Indo-European ties will involve greater efforts to boost existing bilateral cooperation and dialogue on security issues including counter terrorism and maritime security. Besides cooperation in science and technology, there are significant synergies in the social realm. India can benefit from cooperation with Europe on matters of regional and local governance, urban management, women empowerment and social welfare.

Outside the bilateral relationships with various countries and groups, there are global issues, which constitute yet another set of challenges that we need to successfully tackle to achieve the outcomes that we desire. These would include ensuring energy security and sustainable development, food security and dealing with issues vital to peace and security such as terrorism and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.

The interlinked issue of energy security and climate change can pose the biggest hurdle in our quest to achieve our social and economic transformation. In addressing our energy requirements, we do not intend to follow the business as usual approach or the conspicuous consumption pattern that may exist in some developed countries. At present our own greenhouse gas emissions are only about 4% of the global level of emissions, even with 17% of global population. We have also set out ambitious goals for increasing the share of solar energy, wind energy, nuclear energy and clean coal technology in our energy mix on the one hand and on the other to improve overall energy efficiency. We have committed to keep the per capita emissions below the average of those in the developed countries and to reduce the emissions intensity of India's GDP by 20 to 25% by 2020 as compared to 2005.

Terrorism continues to pose a threat to international peace and stability. India having been a victim of terrorism for many decades, has worked with the international community to strengthen the international framework to deal with this threat. In the UN for instance we have taken the initiative to pilot the Comprehensive Convention on International Terrorism or the CCIT, with the objective of providing a comprehensive legal framework to combat terrorism. Given the global nature of the threat we are working with our international partners including the US to tackle the problem. This threat is compounded today given the possibility of intersection between terrorism and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. We have been affected by clandestine nuclear proliferation in our neighbourhood. Today, India is constructively engaged in international efforts to enhance nuclear security. In the long term such threats can be met by universal and non-discriminatory disarmament - a cause that India has championed for many years.

I have tried to reflect on broad trends and critical issues that we face today and would need to successfully manage. India is proud to play its due role and fulfil its responsibilities as a factor of peace, security, stability and prosperity in the Region and the World. 

I will now be happy to take your questions and listen to your comments.

Thank You. 

Disclaimer :-The opinions/views expressed in the Lectures are author's own and do not represent the views of the Ministy of External Affairs.